USD / JPY Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

Although it came close to the 86 level after this week’s open, reaching a 9-day high, Dollar/Yen came back down in the midst of the disappointment of the BoJ yesterday. The Yen is back in the driver’s seat, and it will drive this pair lower again. The support specified in yesterday’s report at 84.77 was broken, and the price dropped to 84.11 so far. We expect the Yen’s strength to continue, and we believe we will see levels below 83.58 on the short term. We have noticed an ideal (Dark Cloud Cover) candle pattern on the daily chart (please refer to the attached chart), and this is a well known bearish pattern which promises more excitement as we drop lower & lower, especially after the BoJ disappointing the markets yesterday, and the “Japs” saying that they are “watching the currency movement closely”! The market has had it with such statements, the “japs” now will have to take a seat and watch the spectacular Yen show against the Dollar & the Euro. Short term support is at 84.03, if broken, we will be on the way to our long awaited target 82.50, and may be later we will test the psychological level 80.00, given enough time. On the other hand, it is hard now to imagine the Dollar beating the 85.21 resistance, But if it does, it will be violent in the face of those who believe in the Yen, and will shoot to 86.25 & may be 86.81.

Support:

• 84.03: previous well known support/

• 82.50: the trend line combining the monthly lows of Dec 08, Jan & Nov 09, on the weekly chart.

• 80.00: psychological level.

Resistance:

• 85.21: Fibonacci 61.8% for the drop from yesterday’s high.

• 86.25: Jul 16th low.

• 86.81: Jul 26th & 27th low.