Bank credit up 25.4%, deposits rise 22%

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said on Thursday that the flow of credit from scheduled commercial banks has increased between April and June 20 this year. The credit flow has increased by 25.4% during this period. The growth is slower than the corresponding period of last year.

The rise in credit is due to high demand from public sector oil firms. The oil firms are under-recovery due to subsidy on oil products. They are forced to sell petroleum products at the rate below the prevailing global rates.

Growth rate of 8% expected this fiscal year: Ahluwalia

The economic growth rate of India may moderate to 8% during the current Growth rate of 8% expected this fiscal year: Ahluwalia (2008-09) fiscal year.

Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia said that the 13-year high inflation rate of 11.42 percent may result into a little lower growth rate but if necessary steps to control inflation are taken, the growth objective of 9% will not be difficult to achieve.

On the other hand the central bank expects the economy to clock a 8-8.5 percent growth in 2008/09.

Bilateral swap agreement signed between Japan and India

Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and Bank of Japan (BOJ) has signed a bilateral swap arrangement (BSA) on Monday. The BSA was signed by BOJ governor Masaaki Shirakawa and RBI governor Yaga Venugopal Reddy in Basel, Switzerland. It will pave a way for swapping local currencies against the US dollar for up to $3 billion. The agreement will also sort out problem of short-term liquidity and strengthen existing international financial arrangements

The agreement was come into effect on Sunday (June 29). Both Japan and India can now swap Yen and rupee against the US dollar up to $3 billion. They will hold biannual consultations on economic and financial conditions of each country with the BSA in effect.

Crisil Scales Down India’s GDP Growth Forecast To 8.1% For FY09

Rating agency, Crisil Ltd has lowered its estimation for India’s gross CRISILdomestic product (GDP) growth for the current fiscal to 8.1 percent from 8.5 percent.

Crisil attributed increasing inflation and interest rates, together with a declining global growth viewpoint for the downward revision of GDP.

In a declaration, the agency said that it anticipates overall growth to remain strong regardless of the moderation, which is driven by investment.

As the existing inflationary prospects are way beyond the RBI’s comfort zone of 4-5-5%, a cut in key interest rates has been rejected, the report said.

CII Unveils 68th Business Outlook Survey Report

Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) India’s premier business association, CII at 68th Business Outlook Survey said that the Business Confidence picked up for October – March 2007-08 after a decline during the period April-September 2007-08.

CII’s business confidence index for October-March this fiscal, at 66.3, has witnessed a marginal increase of 2.4 points from April-September 2007. However, the index was down by 5.5 points when compared to the corresponding period last year.

Govt Assigns Sector-Specific Package For Exporters, Says Kamal Nath

Kamal NathThe Commerce and Industry Minister, Kamal Nath has announced that the government is ready to offer a sector-specific package for tax and levy reimbursement to exporters hit by admiration in the rupee value.

Preserving his assurance that India will attain export objective of $160 billion in the existing fiscal (2007-08) even with currency related worries, Nath told that his department is making a Cabinet note for increasing refunds coverage to exporters.

10 Financial Institutions submitted EOI for IFCI stake

Many financial institutions have submitted the expression of interest for stake in IFCI. IFCI plans to disinvest 26% share to a strategic investor. 10 companies who have submitted EoI includes IDFC, GE Capital, Kotak Mahindra Bank.

Standard Chartered Bank and Sterlite Industries are among other parties who are interested to acquire stake in IFCI. In year 2003, when IFCI was facing financial crisis, Government wanted to take over IFCI via PNB. IFCI was having huge loans which were causing losses for the company for 5 consecutive years. However, in recent quarterly results, IFCI posted net profit of Rs 246 crore.

Baliga Suggests Long-Term Level For Infosys

Infosys TechnologiesAmbareesh Baliga of Karvy Stock Broking believes that Infosys Technologies can definitely touch Rs 2200-2400 in the coming 6-9 months.

He suggested investors to hold the stock for long term, and when it reaches or crosses this expected level, they can make their profits from this evergreen stock.

Stay invested in ICICI Bank for Long Term, Says Agarwal

Rajesh Agarwal ICICI Bankof CD Equisearch has suggested the shareowners to stay invested in ICICI Bank for long term.

Agarwal told, “In ICICI Bank funds, but because of interest rates stabilizing the margins will be better this time. It is currently quoting at a PE of 28, I think the bank has a very good long-term prospect and one could hold for a long term. The price target would be in the range of Rs 1,100-1,150 in a period of 6-9 months.”

Another Downside Of Rs 100-150 In SBI Looks Imminent : Rahul Mohindar

Rahul Mohindar of Viratechindia said that there is a possible downside in SBI’s stock value.

He said that the stock will experience other downside of Rs 100-150 with a short-term to medium-term viewpoint.

Mr. Mohindar stated, “In SBI, there is a visible short opportunity clearly because the stock looks much overstretched, it has reacted from more than Rs 1700 levels on its way down. So, I think technically we would have achieved almost all targets on both shorter-term and longer-term counts.”

He doesn’t believe that the SBI stock can do much on the positive aspect.

Investors Should Know The Real Meaning Of Volatility - Experts

It was a jerky session on Dalal Street. After a hopeful beginning, the indices came below a session of profit booking and trimmed off the majority of the day’s gains. The Nifty ended flat at 4,620 points after gaining just 1.40 points, whereas the Sensex ended the day at 15,795, up 63 points.

The stock markets closed on a flat note after a quite impulsive session. The boarder markets ended in the red with a weak breadth. In the F&O section, the return was the highest ever at Rs 64,281 crore.

IT, capital goods and IT stocks - Reliance Energy, Satyam, BHEL, NTPC, and HDFC Bank ended the day in the green, ended higher. But, selling pressure was seen in auto, FMCG, and pharma stocks.

Tata Power, Reliance Energy Can Append 5-8% - Ambareesh Baliga

Ambareesh BaligaReliance Energy of Karvy Stock Broking is of the view that investors will hold Reliance Energy, Tata Power stock tightly as there are full chances that the both stocks can insert another 5-8% from their subsisting level.

Baliga said, “Power stocks had under performed if you see the last 6-12 months they had under performed. So basically you have seen this stocks moving in the last month-month and a half other than NTPC, which started its move from Rs 110-120 onwards. But there is some more steam left in most of these stocks and I would still suggest that Reliance Energy and Tata Power could still move up another 5-8% move from here.”

TCS Has Target Of Rs 1200 – Anil Manghnani

Anil ManghnaniTata Consultancy Services of Modern Shares & Stock Brokers is of the view that Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) has trading target of Rs 1200.

SBI To Spare Subsisting Home Loan Customers

State Bank of IndiaState Bank of India (SBI) will not increase interest rates for a range of existing home and education loan customers’.

Even as the shift may be partially influenced by the earlier finance ministry recommendation that banks should not rush through rate increases.

The banks’ asset liability committee (Alco) that gathered on late Thursday evening, has suggested to the bank panel that the standard prime-lending rate (PLR) may be hiked up by 50-75 basis points. At this time, the bank’s PLR is 12.25%.

HDFC Hikes Lending Rates

HDFC BankIndia’s largest house finance banking company HDFC has announced raised lending rates by 75 basis points for new loan seekers, and on the other hand, the interest rate is up 50 bps for the existing customers.

The 50 bps hike will translate into a Rs 32 hike each month on a loan of Rs 1 lakh borrowed for 20 years. Yet HDFC’s after hike rates are cheaper than its nearest rival ICICI Bank which annunciated a rate hike last Week. Last week, ICICI Bank increased its benchmark advance rate to 15.75%, while Yes Bank hiked its PLR to 14.75%. However, the state-owned banks are yet to consider their lending rates.

SBI Jacks Up Personal & Car Loans

State bank of IndiaThe State bank of India announced on Wednesday that there’s going to be a small rise in rates for car loans and personal loans.

The MD of SBI said: “we have announced like in benchmark prime lending rates by 75basis points…Consequently, we will be raising rates by 75 basis points on an average.” Mr. Aggarwal added, “This interest rate cycle has peaked in economy and the rates are likely to stabilize at this level.”

SBI is going to raise interest rates in some schemes. SBI had also announced 0.75 % in its benchmark prime lending rate to 12.25% last month.

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