Forex Update

Gold Daily Commentary for 3.31.09

Gold is bouncing up while exhibiting a positive correlation with the Euro and Pound. The precious metal managed to avoid a retest of $900/oz. and stabilized on our previous bottom-end of $908.66/oz. We're noticing a clear theme in terms of correlation. Gold is opting for a positive correlation with the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and U. S. equities.

Therefore, we encourage investors to analyze Gold's correlations before executing a trade on the precious metal. Gold's uptrend has been rescued once again with our last-resort 1st tier uptrend fading into the distance.

Crude Daily Commentary for 3.31.09

Crude bounced off our 1st tier uptrend line beautifully yesterday after a massive selloff in reaction to the possible bankruptcy of GM and Chrysler. As we stated in our previous post, the failure of the major U. S. auto manufacturers takes a large bite out of demand from several sides.

Higher unemployment implies a reduction in automobile purchases and consumption of crude. Additionally, we must consider the crude utilized to both manufacture and distribute the automobiles. With the S&P below 800 and global consumption and production levels coming into question again, there were sufficient reasons to send crude futures tumbling lower.

EURO USD Forex Trading Tips and Analysis for Day Traders

EURO USD Forex Trading Tips and Analysis for Day TradersRate fails at support and clears large stops under 1.3200; rate likely has stops building in both directions but shorts have taken control of the market as the rate gives back gains over the 1.3400 area last week late. Action remains two-way; stops under 1.3150 area said to be building in size but the rate recovers from low prints off the 100 day MA suggesting the move lower is likely supported on dips.

GBP USD Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

GBP USD Technical Forex Analysis for Forex TradersRate falls through stops into support around the 1.4100 handle overnight; traders report more stops waiting under 1.4100 with bids around 1.4050 for the day. Rate recovers back to the 1.4200 handle late as late shorts fail to get a foothold. A close back under the 1.4250 area argues for more losses but support is solid around 1.4100 so aggressive traders can buy dips.

USD Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

USD/JPY Daily Commentary for 3.30.09

The USD/JPY continues its hard-fought battle with February highs and our 3rd tier downtrend line, but the currency pair seems to be losing the battle.  The rally is losing its momentum and may have one last shot at breaking through and retesting 100.

The fact investors lack conviction and commitment to a depreciating Yen reflects uncertainty concerning the state of the Japanese economy.  Japan’s Prelim Industrial Production data came in below analyst expectations with the highly-anticipated Tankan Manufacturing Index coming late Tuesday EST. 

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