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USD / JPY Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

More semi-horizontal movement, making us gradually lose hope to feel some excitement coming from this boring pair! But, there is a slowly rising channel on the hourly chart, which contained all the previous days' shallow moves. It is a coincidence that short term 38.2% Fibonacci level at 90.74 is at the top of this channel, which gives it more importance. The bottom of this channel is at 89.37, and will be slowly rising to 89.56, the well known support. Today's main levels are support 90.14 & resistance 90.74, we can only hope to see some action upon a break of one of them. If we break the support 90.14, we expect to test the bottom of the channel 89.37 first, then to drop to 88.96 on the way to lower targets for the break of this channel.

Euro / Dollar Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

Although the Euro broke the support specified in yesterday's report 1.2256, and fell afterwards by 80 pips, it came back to break the resistance specified in the report (opposite to our expectations), and traded above it after the American closing, but it was not ale to hold this high! This strong bounce, did not break any important levels (so far), to the degree that we can say that the negative technical outlook has changed. When analyzing the 4-hour chart, we can see a beautiful channel, with the price trading in the middle of it at the moment. We can also see that the whole movement of yesterday was in the middle of this channel, and it did not touch or even approach the top or the bottom of the channel.

USD / JPY Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The Dollar failed to capitalize on its consolidation above the 90 landmark, and gave up to the Yen at 90.60, then dropped more than 100 pips to reach the support specified in yesterday’s report exactly (the support was 89.56 & today’s low until the moment of preparing this report is 89.56).Today, Yen’s strength will completely depend on its ability to break the support 89.56. If the Yen can push the Dollar Below this level, we will witness a strong drop, targeting the same set of targets we suggested in the last 2 reports: 88.96 & 87.99. The resistance is at 90.23 and breaking it (if it happens) will target Fibonacci retracement levels 91.24 & 91.89. The latter is the most important resistance for the short (and may be medium) term for now.

Euro / Dollar Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The Euro broke the support specified in yesterday’s report 1.2492, and reached both suggested targets 1.2406 & 1.2295 with perfect success. This “collapse” which dropped the single currency more than 200 pips in less than 24 hours came as a result of breaking the rising trend line from this cycle’s low on the hourly chart 1.2142, which we said about “we believe that a break of this line (in case it happens) will be the technical event of the day.” The subsequent drop matched the importance of this line, and really exciting! This drop broke the Fibo 61.8% support at 1.2344, although it tricked us at the beginning that it will stop at that important level, when it reached an intraday low of 1.2343 and then bounced back above 1.24.

USD / JPY Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The dollar started to balance itself above 90 in the past few hours, and it became in a good position to “attack” the falling trend line on hourly chart. This line is currently at 90.32, only pips below the current price. Will we see the Dollar breaking this line and rocketing up? Today, Dollar’s strength will completely depend on its ability to break the resistance 90.32. If the Dollar can push the Yen above this resistance, we will witness a strong rise, targeting

Euro / Dollar Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

After the rocketing rise, from 1.2142 to 1.2670 late last week, the Euro retreated back to 1.2480. This drop has came very close to the rising trend line from this cycle’s low on the hourly chart 1.2142, which is currently at 1.2492. We believe that a break of this line (in case it happens) will be the technical event of the day. We can not just guess the direction before the test of this line. The general trend is down, but the rise from 1.2142 has shown enormous strength. In such a case, waiting for the test of the trend line is the best thing one can do. In case this support is broken the rocketing short term trend will be over, and the Euro will be back to falling, and going along with the general trend. Today’s targets will be 1.2406 & then 1.2295.

USD / JPY Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

Dollar/Yen broke the support specified in yesterday’s report 91.79, and dropped by almost 100 pips, getting very close to our suggested target 90.75, without reaching it (The lowest price for the past 24 hours is 90.84). Stopping at this bottom is actually stopping at Fibonacci 50% level for the whole rise from 87.99 to 93.62. Therefore, we are before a very important level, which will be our “support of the day”. If broken, the drop will continue, and will target a very important level at 90.14, and if this one is also broken, we will target 89.61. On the other hand, resistance is at 91.50, and breaking it would improve the negative technical outlook for the short term, probably slightly.

Euro / Dollar Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The Euro broke the resistance specified in yesterday’s report 1.2223, and successfully reached both suggested targets 1.2327 & 1.2412 with a perfect triumph. This climb is probably the first part of a massive rising movie, which will be correcting the latest series of collapses, which started at 1.3690 & smashed the Euro for more than 1500 pips in a few weeks. Today, will be a very important day for determining the value of this possibility. If the price goes up from here, this will indicate a correction for that massive move down from 1.3690, which will be able to take us to the 1.27-1.31 area within the next 2 weeks.

Euro / Dollar Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The Euro broke the resistance specified in yesterday’s report, and jumped for more than 100 pips, without reaching the suggested target 1.2435 (yesterday’s high was 1.2412). This climb has brought the Euro close to the top of the hourly channel falling from May 10th high. The upper line in this channel has a great significance, and it is the line which is guarding the downtrend. It goes without saying that breaking this line will result in a change in direction for the short term. But, we highly doubt that it can change the medium term dark outlook. This line is currently running at 1.2399, and if broken, a dramatic rise will takeoff up to the important 1.2511. If this one is also broken, the next target will be 1.2604.

USD / JPY Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The Yen is trying to hold on in face of a strong Dollar, It is trying to achieve some gains, not caring about how brutal is the Dollar treating the European currencies. The Yen managed to push the Dollar lower, to break Friday's support 93.07, and fall more than 100 pips after that, but without reaching our suggested target 91.40. The question now is: Could the Yen go on with outperforming the Dollar? In order to do so, it needs two things: to hold under the resistance 92.40 & to break the support 91.79. If we break the support 91.79 the Yen will stay in the lead in this game, and will drag the Dollar to 2 important levels 90.75 & 90.09. The latter is an important level for both the short & medium terms.

Euro / Dollar Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The Euro broke the Support specified in Friday's report 1.2608 and dropped hard, reaching both suggested targets 1.2511 & 1.2455 with complete success, and even dropping more than 200 pips below the latter. This new collapse is just another part in this downtrend that won't get tired! It has reached the lowest level in 4 years, and it seems like it is targeting the psychological level 1.20 on the short term, probably during this week. Today's support is at 1.2254, and breaking it would indicate a continuation of the drop, and of this brutality of the Dollar towards the Euro. The targets for such a break if it happens will be 1.2113 then the psychological level 1.2000.

USD / JPY Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The Dollar/Yen's slow rise, has stopped accurately at the previous support 93.27 as you can see on the attached chart. But, the most important resistance around here is still 93.49. Here is where all out attention must be placed. After several extremely boring days, which no meaningful moves at all, we could see excitement back in the game, if this level s broken. In this case, the price will not target the attractive 93.96, but it will not settle for anything below 94, where the well known support/resistance area 94.31 will be waiting, to act as a first target for this break. If the climb goes on it will shoot for 95.05. On the other hand, the support is provided by the rising trend line from 90.83 on intraday charts, which is a line that has supported the price for six days now.

Euro / Dollar Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The Euro broke the resistance specified in yesterday's report 1.2693, but could not climb more than 45 pips after that, before tumbling down & approaching 1.26. But this decline, has found our favorite support which we talked about yesterday, waiting! The drop stopped at 1.2610, only 2 pips above the all important 1.2608. Today, this support will still be the most important support, because it managed to stop the drop twice: the first late in Tuesday's Asian session, and the second shortly after the US markets closing on Wednesday. If the price holds above this support, it will finally have a break, and we could see a rising correction after this drop of more than 500 pips in less than 48 hours!

USD / JPY Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The Dollar/Yen's is back to slow, small, and boring moves! It barely completed 90 pips from the low to the high in the past 24 hours, which is very frustrating. Today's important levels are close to each other. The resistance is at 92.87 & the support is at 92.30. We will be waiting for one of these two levels to give way. If 92.30 gives way, a correction for this rocking jump will start, with its first target at 91.40 and the second important target is at 90.75.

The resistance is at 92.87, and if broken the price will jump to the resistance that we find very attractive 93.96. If this one is also broken, 95 will become near, as we will target 95.05. In the next few days, important evidence on medium term direction will emerge, and we will be on the watch for them.

Euro / Dollar Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The Euro broke the support specified in yesterday's report 1.2706 and successfully reached the first suggested target, stopping only 4 pips below it! Today, yesterday's target have turned into the most important support, because it managed to stop the latest episode of the falling series which started close to 1.3105 Fibonacci level that we have talked about previously. If the price holds above this support, it will finally have a break, and we could see a rising correction after this drop of more than 500 pips in less than 48 hours! Today's resistance is at 1.2693, and breaking it would indicate we are already in a rising correction for the whole drop from 1.3092.

USD / JPY Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The Dollar/Yen's rise from 87.99 has slowed down significantly, after rocketing for more than 500 pips in less than 18 hours! But now we have come back from excitement to boredom, the good news is that the important levels are much closer to each other than it was on Friday. The resistance is at 92.83 & the support is at 92.46. We will be waiting for one of these two levels to give way. If 92.46 gives way, a correction for this rocking jump will start, with its first target at 91.22 and the second important target is at 90.61. The resistance is at 92.83, and if broken the price will jump to the resistance that we find very attractive 93.96. If this one is also broken, 95 will become near, as we will target 95.05.

Euro / Dollar Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The Euro broke the support specified in Friday's report 1.2735, and we saw the price drifting away from the channel bottom, reaching both suggested 1.2854 & 1.2935 successfully. The most important technical event in the past week was not the exciting collapse, but reaching the bottom of the falling trend channel on the daily chart (please refer to the attached chart). And after a rebound of almost 450 pips, this bottom has proved important. We could be in front of a turning point not just for the short term but for the medium term as well.

USD / JPY Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The Dollar/Yen broke the support specified in yesterday's report 94.56, and successfully reached the first suggested target 93.91, and stopped halfway to the second target 93.30. What is more important than this is that the price has broken both the rising trend line from 92.80 & 91.58. This very important event has turned the technical outlook negative. Thus, we expect the sliding to go on for another day, but it needs to go through the 93.62 gate. If his support is broken, everything will go ok for the downtrend, and the next set of targets will be 92.97 & the important 92.13. On the other hand, the most notable resistance is at 94.01, we do not expect it to be broken at this stage, such a break would make a "small surprise".

Euro / Dollar Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The Euro fluctuated before breaking the support 1.2948, surpassing both the resistance & supports with about 10 pips each, fooling us that there is a break, only to frustrate us with a move in the opposite direction. Then, it made up its mind, and broke 1.2948, falling & reaching both suggested target 1.2885 & 1.2820. Today, the price is still trading below the falling channel, clearly, and that leaves us with no reason to change the negative technical outlook (even after a drop of 550+ pips). In fact, this outlook will not change unless we go back to trade inside the channel, which is something that needs a break of the resistance 1.2935 to happen. Before this important resistance, there is short term resistance at 1.2854, this is the one we will focus on for today.

USD / JPY Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

The Dollar's rise stopped at 94.96, that's 9 pips below our resistance 95.05, then it dropped, to leave us wondering is this everything? Is the short term rise over, or will it go on? Everything depends on breaking 95.05 or holding below it. If we hold below this resistance the price will be expected to fall, and test the rising trend line from 92.80 at 94.56. If broken the technical outlook will turn negative for the short term, and we will target the important support 93.91. If this one is broken, the technical outlook will turn negative for the medium term, and we will target 93.30 as a first and modest target for this break, on the way to lower levels later.




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