Commodity Trading Tips for Cotton by Kedia Commodity

Cotton on MCX settled up by 0.58% at 20730 due to rising domestic as well as export demand in the spot market. Though, reports of improving supplies from major growing regions capped some gains in cotton. As per CCI, around 30 lakh bales of cotton has been exported from the country so far as against a planned target of some 50 -60 lakh bales this cotton season. CAI estimated output at 341 lakh bales and revised its consumption higher at 295 lakh bales compared to 290 last year. As on Feb 15, 2017 about 185.9 lakh bales of cotton have arrived in the domestic market. Moreover, India has exported around 2.5 million bales so far in the 2016/17 season that started on Oct. 1. Meanwhile, CCI has also been purchasing cotton at commercial rates and has purchased around 70,000 bales till date. As per China Cotton Association, China cotton import was 114,900 tonnes during January which is up 20% year on year. The Cotton Association of India (CAI), the apex trade body for the sector, has maintained the crop estimate for 2016-17 season at 341 lakh bales of 170 kg each in its latest estimates for January, same as that in the previous month. However, it expects the consumption of the fibre to increase marginally in the year ahead on pick-up in demand. Technically market is under short covering as market has witnessed drop in open interest by -15.46% to settled at 2920 while prices up 120 rupees, now Cotton is getting support at 20670 and below same could see a test of 20610 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 20780, a move above could see prices testing 20830.

Trading Ideas:

# Cotton trading range for the day is 20610-20830.

# Cotton prices ended with gains due to rising domestic as well as export demand in the spot market.

# As per China Cotton Association, China cotton import was 114,900 tonnes during January which is up 20% year on year.

# CAI expects cotton consumption to increase for the ongoing crop year to 295 lakh bales, against its previous estimate of 290 lakh bales.

# Cotton prices in spot market gained by 170.00 rupees and settled at 20450.00 rupees.