Commodity Update

Commodity Trading Tips for Cotton by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Cotton by Kedia Commodity

Cotton on MCX settled down -0.75% at 21110 on profit booking after prices gained as the arrivals in the domestic market slow down in April. India's cotton imports during the current crop year (Oct-Sep) may jump 36% on strong rupee and poor quality of domestic cotton. Import of the fibre is expected to rise to 3 million bales in 2016-17 compared to 2.2 million bales cotton imported during 2015-16. Comparatively poor quality of domestic cotton is also responsible for increased imports despite higher output. The Cotton Advisory Board

Commodity Trading Tips for Cardamom by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Cardamom by Kedia Commodity

Cardamom on MCX settled up 0.65% at 1185.6 taking positive cues from spot market on rising demand. Supply continued to show a shrinkage following the continued dry spell. Harvesting is nearly complete and hence arrivals are unlikely to pick up. Exporters and north Indian dealers have slowed down because of the higher prices. The production and export of cardamom, has been increasing over the past three years. Despite competition from Guatemala, the largest producer of cardamom, there are good days for cardamom sector in the country. India grew just over 20,000 tonnes of cardamom and exported around 4,700 tonnes in 2013-14. However, during 2015-16, 27,300 tonnes of cardamom were produced and over 6,000 tonnes were exported globally.

Commodity Trading Tips for Maize by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Maize by Kedia Commodity

Maize on NCDEX settled up 0.32% at 1551 tracking firmness in spot demand despite pressure in overseas prices amid plentiful global supplies and an improved weather outlook for the winter crop in the United States. Corn export sales came in at 848,200 tonnes, near the low end of expectations. Brazilian farmers should produce a record 2016-17 corn crop of 93.2 million tonnes this year, topping the 89.6 million tonnes expected in a previous survey. Farmers in China will plant less corn this season, resulting in the nation’s smallest crop in six years. A poll finds that, during the spring planting season, growers in China plan to cut corn acreage for the second straight year to 35.2 million hectares, the equivalent of roughly 85 million acres, and 4.1 percent less than a year ago.

Commodity Trading Tips for Jeera by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Jeera by Kedia Commodity

Jeera on NCDEX settled down -1.42% at 19100 tracking weakness in spot demand on profit booking. However downside seen limited amid lower production estimates by Gujarat Agriculture Department in its 3rd advance estimates for 2016/17. As per third advance estimates for 2016/17, production of Jeera in Gujarat revised down to 2.12 lt, down 4% from its 2nd estimates and almost 11% compared to last year production of 2.38 lt. The arrivals have been lower during the first half of current month compared to second half of last month. As per data, during first half of April about 16,441 tonnes of jeera arrived compared to 22,108 during second half of last month.

Commodity Trading Tips for Turmeric by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Turmeric by Kedia Commodity

Turmeric on NCDEX settled up 1.37% at 6216 on lower arrivals and steady increase in demand at lower levels. Moreover, rising exports demand at the spot market too fuelled the uptrend. On the export front, country exported about 89,704 tons during April-Jan period, up by 28.3% compared to last year exports of 69,870 tons. Turmeric arrivals in the country is declining in first 20 days in April to 66,025 tonnes (Apr 1-20) compared to 1,15,768 tonnes during the same period in March, as per data. There are expectations of improved demand in coming weeks as prices are lower. At Erode market arrivals were reported at 8000 quintals, higher by 2500 quintals as compared to previous day. At Nizamabad market arrivals were reported at 15000 quintals, lower by 3000 quintals as against previous day.

Commodity Trading Tips for Mustard Seed by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Mustard Seed by Kedia Commodity

Rmseed on NCDEX settled down -0.44% at 3804 tracking weakness in spot demand on oversupply woes in local mandis. Prices of the mustard were down as demand is lower after the crushing disparity fell to Rs 700 per quintal. However, sharp fall in the prices was cushioned by lower arrivals in the local mandis. Mustard arrivals in the country totaled at 460,000 bags (85kg each) against 490,000 bags previous session. Farmers are reluctant to offload their produce at the lower level. Further they mostly prefer in marketing of rabi wheat crop, which is giving them good remunerations.

Commodity Trading Tips for Crude palm Oil by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Crude palm Oil by Kedia Commodity

CPO on MCX settled up 0.16% at 516.8 amid higher export data from Malaysia spurted demand hope. Malaysia palm oil exports during Apr 1-20 jumped 5% as compared to same period a month ago on higher demand from European Union, China, Japan, India Egypt and South Africa, data showed. Malaysia palm oil exports jumped to 719,175 tons during Apr 1-20 compared to 686,741 tons for the same period a month ago, DowJones reported citing data from SGS, a private surveyor. India's palm oil imports from Malaysia during Apr 1-20 rose by 16.07% to 94,600 tons as compared to 81,500 tons imported during Mar 1-20.

Commodity Trading Tips for Ref. Soyaoil by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Ref. Soyaoil by Kedia Commodity

Ref. Soya oil on NCDEX settled down -0.19% at 622.05 tracking weakness spot demand despite of lower arrivals in local mandis and on hope of improvement in demand. India's edible oil imports fell a little over 7% on year to 1.10 mln tn in March, according to data from Solvent Extractors' Association of India. In March, overall imports of vegetable oils--comprising edible and non-edible oils--were at 1.11 mln tn compared with 1.19 mln tn a year ago. During Nov-Mar, the country imported 5.7 mln tn of edible oils, down from 6.3 mln tn a year ago. Total imports have declined this year because of a larger crop of oilseeds and consequent higher availability of edible oils, SEA said in a report. A slowdown in consumption growth has also kept imports under check.

Commodity Trading Tips for Soyabean by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Soyabean by Kedia Commodity

Soyabean on NCDEX settled up 0.23% at 3057 on account of diminishing supplies in the domestic market. Meanwhile, soybeans ticked higher in overseas markets, but slowing demand for US shipments kept a lid on the market. The US Department of Agriculture said weekly export sales of soybeans fell to 225,000 tonnes (old-crop and new-crop combined), below trade forecasts for 400,000 to 800,000 tonnes. Soybean arrivals in local mandis are expected to gather pace after May 20. Earlier, data published by SOPA showed. Soybean arrivals in local mandis during March fell by 23% compared to previous month as farmers were reluctant to sell the crop at lower prices.

Commodity Trading Tips for Menthaoil by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Menthaoil by Kedia Commodity

Menthaoil on MCX settled up 0.39% at 948.2 amid rise in demand in the domestic spot market. Further, tight stocks position on restricted supplies from producing regions, too supported mentha oil prices. However, some gains were capped on the speculation that the area under cultivation can increase this year resulting good production. A better price recovery in mentha oil is expected to boost production of the crop by 12% this year. A large number of small and marginal farmers from Uttar Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Haryana and other places sowed mentha in January. India exported 21,150 metric tonnes of mentha and allied products, valued at Rs 2,577.59 crore in FY16, according to the Spices Board of India. This was 15.87% in value terms of the total spices exported.

Commodity Trading Tips for Aluminium by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Aluminium by Kedia Commodity

Aluminium on MCX settled down -0.84% at 124.6 on profit booking tracking LME prices fell 0.5 percent amid rise in Shanghai stocks after prices seen supported after news that Xinjiang Jiarun Resources shut down 200,000 mt of disqualified aluminium capacity. Prices seen supported in the week as supporting prices was the inventory draws from London Metal Exchange warehouses, but a rise in Shanghai stocks on Friday limited this bullish sentiment. Still, overall LME holdings are sitting at just 1.7 million tons. Inventories in Shanghai, meanwhile, are at their highest in about a year. Meanwhile, China’s total March aluminium production rose to 2.707 million tons from 2.534 million in February.

Commodity Trading Tips for Nickel by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Nickel by Kedia Commodity

Nickel on MCX settled down -1.31% at 604.8 on profit booking tracking weakness in LME prices dropped by 1.5 percent to $9,345 as a smaller discount indicates tighter supply. The discount of LME cash nickel to the three-month contract shrank to $50 a tonne from $67.50 late last month, the largest since January 2015. World's nickel market was in deficit of 20,000 tonnes during the first two months of 2017, according to latest data from World Bureau of Metal Statistics (WBMS). According to WBMS, the supply deficit was 62,000 tonnes for the whole year of 2016. Refined production from January to February 2017 was 272,100 tonnes and demand was 292,200 tonnes.

Commodity Trading Tips for Zinc by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Zinc by Kedia Commodity

Zinc on MCX settled down -1.91% at 166.65 tracking LME prices closed 1.8 percent lower at $2,584 as recent price gains have spurred miners around the world to increase output. World Bureau of Metal Statistics (WBMS) data show global zinc market was in 177,000 tonnes of deficit during January and February 2017, compared to 258,000 tonnes of deficit in 2016. Global refined zinc output added 6.0% year-on-year in the first two months of the year. Consumption was up 7%, with 87,000 tonnes from Japan, up 16% year-on-year. Global refined zinc demand increased 143,000 tonnes on a yearly basis during January-February. China’s apparent zinc consumption was 967,000 tonnes, representing 44% of global total.

Commodity Trading Tips for Copper by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Copper by Kedia Commodity

Copper on MCX settled down -0.32% at 363 as worries over political instability and global demand prompted investors to cut bets on higher prices. Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange closed flat at $5,622.50 a tonne, leaving it down 1.2 percent in the week. Investors have overestimated global growth and the impact of supply disruptions at major copper mines. The global refined copper market had a 51,000 tonne surplus in January, up from a 44,000 tonne surplus in January last year, the International Copper Study Group (ICSG) said. But the strike at the Escondida mine in February-March meant "next month's report should reflect a tighter market".

Commodity Trading Tips for Naturalgas by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Naturalgas by Kedia Commodity

Naturalgas on MCX settled down -1.08% at 201.2 as momentum-based traders pile on to a recent losing skid tied to a weak time of year for demand. A late-winter rally has been followed up by a steady retreat throughout April, a time of year when temperate weather often lowers demand for the heating fuel. Further downside price action is also suggested by the recent failure against the upward sloping trendline which had defined price action since the late February low was established. The U. S. Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report that natural gas storage in the U. S. rose by 54 billion cubic feet in the week ended April 14, compared to forecasts for a build of 48 billion.

Commodity Trading Tips for Crudeoil by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Crudeoil by Kedia Commodity

Crudeoil on MCX settled down -2.82% at 3208 on renewed concerns that increasing U. S. production and high inventories will thwart OPEC's attempts to reduce the global crude glut. Prices fell as doubts emerged over the effect of the OPEC/non-OPEC production cut by almost 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) during the first half of the year. Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, key members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, favour extending their production-limiting deal with non-member producers into the second half of the year. Russia's Energy Minister Alexander Novak, however, declined to say whether the top oil producer would adhere to an extension before a joint meeting on May 25, saying global stocks were declining.

Commodity Trading Tips for Silver by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Silver by Kedia Commodity

Silver on MCX settled down -0.52% at 41289 as investors kept an eye on the upcoming French presidential vote that is seen as too close to call. Investors opted for caution ahead of the French presidential election, as opinion polls indicated centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron holds a slender lead over far-right candidate Marine Le Pen. According to Opinion-Orpi’s daily poll of voting intentions, centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron would garner 23% of the vote while Marine Le pen would garner 22%. Meanwhile, investors mulled over comments from U. S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, after he said Thursday, the Trump administration is ‘close’ to bringing forward tax reform.

Commodity Trading Tips for Gold by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Gold by Kedia Commodity

Gold on MCX settled up 0.42% at 29418 as investors awaited the first-round of voting in the presidential French election at the weekend and possible announcements about tax changes in the United States. There was potential for safe-haven buying of gold after France said security forces were fully mobilized for the weekend vote after an Islamist militant killed a policeman Thursday night. Safe-haven demand re-emerged after a French policeman was shot dead and two others were wounded in central Paris on Thursday night in an attack claimed by the Islamic State militant group. Investors were also watching events in Washington.

Commodity Trading Tips for Cotton by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Cotton by Kedia Commodity

Cotton on MCX settled down by -0.48% at 20720 on higher arrivals and sufficient stock levels in the country. India's 2016-17 cotton imports are set to jump more than a third from a year ago to a record 30 lakh bales on stronger rupees. On export front, country has so far contracted about 45 lakh bales in the current crop year, and total exports in the season could be around 5 million bales, down 30% from a year ago. Total cotton arrivals across the country till Apr 7 stood at 27.87 million bales recording a rise of 5% over last year's level of 26.47 million bales, according to the Cotton Corporation of India (CCI) data. Cotton Advisory Board (CAB) estimated 2016-17 cotton crop at 35.1 million bales up from 33.8 million bales a year ago.

Commodity Trading Tips for Cardamom by Kedia Commodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Cardamom by Kedia Commodity

Cardamom on MCX settled up by 0.59% at 1270.6 on short covering tracking firmness in spot demand after prices dropped amid reports of higher supplies of imported variety. However prices were further unlikely to improve in the coming week due to accumulation of imported stocks. Arrivals at the auction centres continued to shrink as the season has come to an end and number auctions have been cut in the absence of sufficient quantity. India exported 3,000 ton cardamom during Apr-Dec down from 3,825 on a year ago, data from Spices Board showed. Individual auction average slipped and it was vacillating between Rs. 1,047 and Rs. 1,193 a Kg. Total arrivals during the season from August 01 up to April 8, 2017 were at 15,247 tonnes and sales stood at 14,466 tonnes.




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