According to the reckonings of Treasury managers and economists, the rupee could slide back to its 43 levels against the US dollar by the end of this calendar year; the short term gains of the local currency indicated at a weaker currency over the medium term.
Decline of dollar against most major currencies is turning out to be great for Indian economy. The rupee has improved hugely to close at 41.85/86 against the dollar, which is recorded as a nine-year high.
The world-wide flaw of the dollar, attached with the resumed inflows from foreign institutional investors (FIIs) and the tightening of domestic rates assures traders to purchase the rupee and sold the dollar. This scenario would surely ease inflation because of decline in the cost of imports.
Indian industry looked confused over the issue whether the RBI should intervene in order to protect exporters from the gaining rupee or not.
As per CII, the domestic industry would have to accept a strengthening rupee in the short term, whereas, FICCI, Assocham and FIEO fancies RBI to check the sharp climb in the currency.
The rupees closed at 42.90 in comparison to dollar on Thursday, which has been recorded as the highest closing in past eight years. The rupee was grown to 42.84 per dollar and closed at 43.08 on Wednesday in intra-day trade. Treasury (British cabinet that is responsible for economic strategy) cleared that bargainers make short position in the hope that Reserve bank of India would not interfere to limit benefits. The rupees were around the 43.15 for the most part of the day.
The foreign broking firms opine that the Indian currency could become commanding currency in Asia. This reckoning came a day after an expert committee made out a case on Monday for making the rupee fully convertible before the end of 2008.