TCS Share Price Target at Rs 3,565: Axis Securities
Axis Securities has designated Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) as its "Pick of the Week," issuing a BUY recommendation with a target price of Rs 3,565 per share, representing approximately 10% upside from the current market price of Rs 3,241. The brokerage's bullish stance stems from TCS's exceptional deal-winning momentum, with a robust Total Contract Value (TCV) of $10 billion in Q2FY26, alongside the company's deepening artificial intelligence integration and planned 1GW sovereign AI data center deployment requiring $6.4 billion phased capital expenditure. With a diversified clientele spanning BFSI, retail, and other verticals, TCS demonstrates superior execution capabilities that have yielded consistent repeat business, positioning the IT services behemoth for sustained growth despite macroeconomic headwinds.
Brokerage House Recommendation and Price Targets
Axis Securities has issued a compelling BUY recommendation on Tata Consultancy Services, establishing a six-to-nine-month price target of Rs 3,565 per share. The current market price stands at Rs 3,241, recorded as of December 5, 2025, suggesting an attractive upside potential of approximately 10% for investors seeking exposure to India's premier information technology services provider. Research analysts Kuber Chauhan and Abhishek Bhalotia spearheaded this analysis, emphasizing three pivotal investment themes: continuity in deal wins, strategic leveraging of AI capabilities, and enhanced operational efficiency.
Key Investment Levels:
Current Market Price: Rs 3,241
Target Price: Rs 3,565
52-Week High: Rs 4,495
52-Week Low: Rs 2,867
Time Horizon: 6-9 months
Unprecedented Deal Momentum Fuels Revenue Visibility
TCS has demonstrated remarkable prowess in securing high-value contracts, evidenced by its stellar $10 billion Total Contract Value achievement in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026. This performance represents a sequential growth of 6.4% quarter-over-quarter and an impressive 16.3% year-over-year expansion, predominantly driven by robust wins in the Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) sector, alongside substantial gains in the retail vertical.
The company's deal-winning capability received further validation through its capture of a seven-year mega contract valued at $640 million with Tryg, Scandinavia's prominent non-life insurance firm. This significant engagement underscores TCS's formidable ability to secure transformational partnerships with global enterprises, thereby fortifying revenue visibility across multiple quarters. The comprehensive pipeline remains exceptionally healthy, characterized by well-diversified revenue streams that ensure steady demand emanation from both established clients and newly acquired accounts.
Diversified Client Architecture Underpins Sustainable Growth
TCS has meticulously cultivated an expansive and diversified client portfolio, demonstrating consistent incremental additions across multiple revenue buckets spanning $1 million, $5 million, $10 million, $20 million, $50 million, and $100 million thresholds over recent fiscal periods. This strategic client segmentation, combined with the company's exemplary execution capabilities, has catalyzed elevated levels of repeat business and fostered exceptional brand recall among enterprise decision-makers globally.
The company's widespread geographical footprint encompasses critical markets including the United States, continental Europe, the United Kingdom, India, Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. This geopolitical diversification functions as an effective hedge against regional economic volatility, enabling TCS to maintain stable operational performance even during periods of macroeconomic uncertainty. The organization's service portfolio encompasses IT solutions and services, infrastructure services, global consulting, engineering and industrial services, and comprehensive IT-enabled services.
AI-First Strategy and Data Center Infrastructure Investment
TCS has embarked upon an ambitious transformation centered on artificial intelligence, implementing an AI-first organizational culture that permeates service delivery, talent reskilling initiatives, and cross-industry solution development. The company has strategically expanded its AI capabilities through mergers and acquisitions, notably the acquisition of ListEngage, which augments its technology arsenal for delivering next-generation solutions to clients navigating digital transformation journeys.
In a watershed move, TCS has announced plans to construct a 1 gigawatt sovereign AI data center in India over a five-to-seven-year implementation timeline, requiring a phased capital expenditure exceeding $6.4 billion. This infrastructure initiative will provide passive colocation facilities to hyperscalers, deep-tech enterprises, and government agencies, strategically positioning TCS to capitalize on India's burgeoning data center demand. Management anticipates that FY26 international growth will substantially surpass the modest 0.7% constant currency growth recorded in FY25, propelled by strong deal momentum and AI-led modernization imperatives.
Financial Projections and Valuation Framework
Axis Securities projects that TCS will achieve revenue and EBIT growth at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5% and 9% respectively over the FY25-27E period. This anticipated expansion trajectory stems from continued deal-winning momentum despite a relatively stable macroeconomic environment, driven by deeper penetration of large client accounts across diverse end-user industries and enhanced capability to secure larger, more complex engagements.
| Financial Metric | FY25 | FY26E | FY27E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales (Rs Cr) | 2,55,324 | 2,61,324 | 2,81,703 |
| EBIT (Rs Cr) | 62,165 | 65,303 | 73,276 |
| Net Profit (Rs Cr) | 48,553 | 49,551 | 56,326 |
| Earnings Per Share (Rs) | 136 | 145 | 157 |
| P/E Ratio (x) | 24.1 | 23.1 | 20.7 |
| EV/EBITDA (x) | 17.2 | 16.4 | 14.5 |
| P/BV (x) | 12.3 | 11.6 | 10.7 |
| Return on Equity (%) | 52.0 | 52.0 | 54.0 |
The stock currently trades at 23x/21x P/E multiples for FY26E/FY27E, with the company maintaining an impressive Return on Equity of 52-54% across the forecast period. With a market capitalization of Rs 11,73,242 crores and 362 crore outstanding shares, TCS trades on the Bombay Stock Exchange under code 532540 and on the National Stock Exchange under the symbol TCS.
Strategic Imperatives for Investor Consideration
The investment thesis for TCS crystallizes around three fundamental pillars that distinguish the company within India's information technology services landscape. First, the continuation of deal-winning momentum across BFSI, retail, and emerging verticals provides tangible revenue visibility extending through multiple quarters, mitigating concerns about demand softness. Second, the company's aggressive AI integration strategy, encompassing both service delivery transformation and massive infrastructure investment, positions TCS advantageously to capture disproportionate value from enterprises undergoing AI-led modernization.
